On this blog we've talked about which areas in Marin are most at risk to earthquakes and liquefaction. What about global warming? Global warming is obviously happening. By some accounts we are very close to if not already passed the "point of no return". Glaciers are retreating at a rapid rate. Antarctic ice shelves are disintegrating. Sea level rise and shoreline change are inevitable. How will this affect Marin and, more to the point, which overpriced Marin POSs are most at risk?
Well, I have yet to find anything on this topic specific to Marin or that shows the information in the way I'd like for the Bay Area. But try these on for size:
- Here is an animation showing the effects on New York city of just one meter of sea level rise. Pretty shocking. You can find other such animations here.
- Here is an animation showing flooding in the Bay Area due to just one meter of sea level rise. Unfortunately, you can only barely see Marin at the top.
- Here is a series of maps showing the amount of coastal flooding on the East Coast that can be expected from sea level rise (also shown below). Would the West Coast be any different?
And just for "fun", here is what the world will look like after 100 meters of sea level rise.
3 comments:
great from germany.
the cooling off was really long enough :-)
http://www.immobilienblasen.blogspot.com/
"Anyone who buys property in Marin and intends to hold for the long term or even bequeath property to their heirs must take into consideration whether said property will be underwater in the future and how accessible it will be to contiguous areas of the remaining dry land."
With the exception of some underwater Florida real-estate sold during the early 1920s, submerged properties tend to be worthless. On the other hand, land which remains above the high water mark -- while surrounding properties become deluged -- will probably increase in value.
See, they AREN'T making anymore land!!
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